PASIDA Think Tank · Report · 2025
Downscaled climate risk for secondary African cities
Heat and flood exposure modelling for fast-growing secondary cities, with an adaptation prioritisation method for municipalities.
Key findings
Exposure is concentrated in informal settlements built after 2010.
Low-cost drainage maintenance delivers the largest near-term risk reduction.
Municipal data gaps, not model resolution, limit planning quality.
Methodology
Statistical downscaling of CMIP-class ensembles with settlement overlays (illustrative).